Home / News / Japan wholesale inflation stays hot in August, cements case for BOJ hike
Japan wholesale inflation stays hot in August, cements case for BOJ hike
<p dir="ltr">August's corporate goods price index reinforces what markets had already priced in, that the Bank of Japan is close to certain to raise rates to 1.25% at next week's meeting, so the immediate surprise value for JPY crosses is limited. The more interesting detail is the import price index, up 24.8% year on year, which points to continued yen weakness feeding directly into domestic cost pressures rather than easing as some had hoped. That keeps alive the more hawkish end of rate expectations, with analysts now pencilling in a further hike to 1.75% in the second quarter of 2027, earlier than previously anticipated. For JPY, the data supports the broader narrative of a BOJ playing catch-up on inflation, which should continue to underpin the currency against peers still years away from their own tightening cycles, though a hike that's already near fully priced tends to produce a smaller reaction on the day itself than the scale of the move might suggest.</p><p dir="ltr">---</p><p dir="ltr">Earlier:</p><ul><li><a href="https://investinglive.com/stock-market-update/nikkei-kospi-fall-as-us-bond-yields-and-inflation-data-spook-markets" rel="follow" target="_blank">Nikkei, Kospi fall as US bond yields and inflation data spook markets</a></li></ul><p dir="ltr"></p><p dir="ltr">---</p><p dir="ltr"></p><p dir="ltr"> Japan's wholesale prices came in hotter than expected again, leaving the Bank of Japan with little room to avoid a rate hike next week.</p><p dir="ltr">Summary:</
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<p dir="ltr">August's corporate goods price index reinforces what markets had already priced in, that the Bank of Japan is close to certain to raise rates to 1.25% at next week's meeting, so the immediate surprise value for JPY crosses is limited. The more interesting detail is the import price index, up 24.8% year on year, which points to continued yen weakness feeding directly into domestic cost pressures rather than easing as some had hoped. That keeps alive the more hawkish end of rate expectations, with analysts now pencilling in a further hike to 1.75% in the second quarter of 2027, earlier than previously anticipated. For JPY, the data supports the broader narrative of a BOJ playing catch-up on inflation, which should continue to underpin the currency against peers still years away from their own tightening cycles, though a hike that's already near fully priced tends to produce a smaller reaction on the day itself than the scale of the move might suggest.</p><p dir="ltr">---</p><p dir="ltr">Earlier:</p><ul><li><a href="https://investinglive.com/stock-market-update/nikkei-kospi-fall-as-us-bond-yields-and-inflation-data-spook-markets" rel="follow" target="_blank">Nikkei, Kospi fall as US bond yields and inflation data spook markets</a></li></ul><p dir="ltr"></p><p dir="ltr">---</p><p dir="ltr"></p><p dir="ltr"> Japan's wholesale prices came in hotter than expected again, leaving the Bank of Japan with little room to avoid a rate hike next week.</p><p dir="ltr">Summary:</