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Forex· May 05, 2026 at 07:57 PM

Crude oil trades between 100/200 hour MAs

Authored by·Editorially reviewed
Onur Erkan Yıldız
Founder, Financial Engineer · CMB-licensed
NeutralMedium impact

AI summary

<p>Crude oil is under pressure, trading down $3.80 (-3.57%) at $102.62, after a volatile session that saw a high of $105.48 and a low of $101.08.</p><p>From a technical perspective, the price has fallen back below the 100-hour moving average at $104.60, shifting near-term control back toward sellers. However, the decline found support just ahead of the rising 200-hour moving average at $100.83, a level that is now acting as a key line in the sand.</p><p>These two moving averages are defining the current battle:</p><ul><li>Below the 100-hour MA: Sellers have the edge after today’s breakdown. </li><li>Near the 200-hour MA: Buyers are attempting to lean and hold support. </li></ul><p>If the price breaks and holds below the 200-hour moving average, the downside bias strengthens, opening the door for a move toward $98.72 (38.2% retracement of the April rally), followed by the 50% midpoint at $94.95.</p><p>On the flip side, if buyers can defend the 200-hour MA and reclaim the 100-hour MA, it would shift the bias back higher, with traders targeting the Monday high near $107.46.</p><p>Bottom line: The market is caught between key moving averages. The 200-hour MA is the key support, while the 100-hour MA is the resistance pivot. The next break—either below support or back above resistance—will likely dictate the next directional move.</p><p>There are reports that a 2nd US flagged commercial vessel exited the Strait of Hormuz. However, on the other side, the UKMTO said that they receiv

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